Tag Archives: Stan Jonas

Implied Probabilities

Via Stan Jonas: BORING PLUS ONE BET… FEAR OF TIGHTENING BY XMAS OF 2008???? FOMC    Imagined    Euro$    Euro$            Diff    FUNDS Dates    Prob    Contract   Current  Imagined ticks 04/30/08  -150%    EDM8    97.730    97.726     0    1.88% 06/25/08   -65%    EDU8    97.850    97.834    -2    1.71% … Continue reading

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The latest from the Fed’s prediction market…

Via Stan Jonas: – Stan Jonas in his own words: What’s the BET post the March FOMC? The first rule of “betting” is that one must know what the current market odds are. As of today, there is no doubt … Continue reading

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