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Tag Archives: FOMC

Implied Probabilities

Via Stan Jonas:

BORING PLUS ONE BET… FEAR OF TIGHTENING BY XMAS OF 2008????
FOMC    Imagined    Euro$    Euro$            Diff    FUNDS
Dates    Prob    Contract   Current  Imagined ticks
04/30/08  -150%    EDM8    97.730    97.726     0    1.88%
06/25/08   -65%    EDU8    97.850    97.834    -2    1.71%
08/05/08    -10%   EDZ8    97.765    97.784     2    1.69%
09/16/08    0%     EDH9    97.720    97.694    -3    1.69%
10/29/08    0%     EDM9    97.510    97.504    -1    1.69%
12/16/08    26%    EDU9    [...]

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