Tag Archives: Economics

The Best Resources On Prediction Markets
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1. The Best Charts Of Prediction Markets
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2008 US Presidential Elections
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Get the Electoral Markets widget!
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More Charts:
- Probabilistic Predictions = Charts Of Current Prediction Markets
- Charts Of Expired Prediction Markets
- Other Charts Of Expired Prediction Markets
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2. The Best Midas Oracle Explainers On Prediction Markets
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Prediction markets produce dynamic, objective probabilistic predictions on the [...]

Posted in Resources - References | Also tagged ABC, accuracy, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alex Gowar, American Enterprise Institute, American Magazine, Associated Press, best, Bet, bet exchanges, betting exchanges, betting markets, Bo Cowgill, Bob Hahn, business executive, CEO, CFO, charts, Chicago, Chris F. Masse, Chris Hibbert, CIO, CNN, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, corporate applications, David Pennock, Decisionmaking, Declan McCullagh, Economist, eiciency, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Eric Zitwewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erick Schonfeld, event deriatives, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, Financial Times, Gary Stix, GE, Google, Guide, Hal Varian, Helen Shaw, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP, Illinois, Inkling Markets, Inkling Markets CEO, Inside Knowledge Magazine, Intel Corporation, Iowa, J. David Goodman, Jack Houghton, James Surowiecki, Jason Ruspini, Jay W. Hopman, Jenny Ambrozek, Joe Drape, Joe Nocera, John Authers, John Stossel, Justin Wolfers, Karen Dilger, Knowledge, Lance Fortnow, Lena West, Linda Tucci, Mark Davies, market efficiency, Matt Crenson, meta forecasting tools, Michael Abramowicz, Michael Giberson, Michael Moyer, Michael Totty, Microsoft, National Bureau of Economic Research, New, New York Times, News, Odd Head, Online Prediction Markets, online sports wagering, opinion, Paul Tetlock, politician, Popular Science, prediction accuracy, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, President, Private, professor, Rachael King, Research, resources, Ricky McRoskey, Robin Hanson, software for prediction markets, software packages, Steve Lohr, Steven Cherry, Streaming Video, The New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, Tom W. Bell, Trading Technologies, United States, USD, Vanessa Sumo, Vernon Smith, Victoria Axelrod, Wall Street Journal, Wall Street Journal's E.S. Browning, Wall Street Journal's Michael Totty, Yahoo!

We will never have a perfect model of risk. — by Alan Greenspan

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 17, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Alan Greenspan:

The most credible explanation of why risk management based on state-of-the-art statistical models can perform so poorly is that the underlying data used to estimate a model’s structure are drawn generally from both periods of euphoria and periods of fear, that is, from regimes with importantly different dynamics.

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Posted in Finance, The Global Economy | Also tagged Alan Greenspan , Alan Greenspan, Alan Greenspan, econometry, Finance, risk, risk management, US economy

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Tag Archives: Economics

The Economy of Attention

Brad DeLong bends Eric Zitzewitz’s ear.

These 2 economists have been vilified in the past, but they are the best read when it comes to the Big Bailout.

The Best Resources On Prediction Markets

We will never have a perfect model of risk. — by Alan Greenspan

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