Tag Archives: Alan Greenspan
Nate Silver, financial market analyst wannabe —not
What Nate Silver has deleted:
What the Stock Market Really Thinks About the Economy
from FiveThirtyEight.com: Politics Done Right by noreply@blogger.com (Nate Silver)
Looking at the performance of the stock market offers both promise and peril in providing insight into the future direction of the economy. The promise comes because the market, in a fundamental sense, ought to [...]
Awesome piece by Daniel Gross
On the root of the banking and financial crisis.
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Alan Greenspan
… is blamed for Wall Street’s overuse of derivatives.
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ALAN GREENSPAN: “I still believe there is a greater than 50 per cent probability of recession.”
Via Fortune, the Financial Times
InTrade:
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Kudos to Caveat Bettor for being prescient on this event derivative market.
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We will never have a perfect model of risk. — by Alan Greenspan
Alan Greenspan:
The most credible explanation of why risk management based on state-of-the-art statistical models can perform so poorly is that the underlying data used to estimate a model’s structure are drawn generally from both periods of euphoria and periods of fear, that is, from regimes with importantly different dynamics.
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