Archive for the 'Prices & Probabilities' Category

ALAN GREENSPAN: “I still believe there is a greater than 50 per cent probability of recession.”

Chris F. Masse May 27th, 2008

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Via Fortune, the Financial Times

InTrade:

Price for US Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*) at intrade.com

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Kudos to Caveat Bettor for being prescient on this event derivative market.

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No recession?

Chris F. Masse April 30th, 2008

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Price for US Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*) at intrade.com
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The plunge:

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The US economy is now in recession.

Chris F. Masse March 13th, 2008

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Price for US Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*) at intrade.com

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Wall Street Journal

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Dow Jones to close on or above 12,500 at the end of 2008

Chris F. Masse March 1st, 2008

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Price for 2008 Year End Dow Jones Industrial Average at intrade.com

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The US economy will go into recession during 2008.

Chris F. Masse March 1st, 2008

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Price for US Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*) at intrade.com

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E-Trade to officially announce bankruptcy on or before June 30th, 2008

Chris F. Masse March 1st, 2008

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Price for E*Trade Bankruptcy at intrade.com

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Impact of the Fed rate cut on the InTrade prices

Chris F. Masse January 24th, 2008

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InTrade Fed

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