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Category Archives: Market Prices & Probabilities

InTrade prediction markets and ABC 20/20’s John Stossel on health care reform

Health Care Reform
Via the informative Daily Chuck

Humm… I am not so sure.

Will Switzerland be placed on on a “tax haven” blacklist by the G20?

Allen Stanford vs. Bernie Madoff

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Will Allen Stanford be located by the end of February?
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If Allen Stanford isn’t found, will his assets be traced and frozen?
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Will the US economy have “absorbed” the financial crisis by Feb. 2010?

Will the US economy have “absorbed” the financial crisis by Feb. 2010?

What will the Federal Funds Rate be at noon (EST) on April 1, 2009?

What will the Federal Funds Rate be at noon (EST) on April 1, 2009?

The United States banks have a capital shortage of $500 billion.

New York Times
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Which country will first have ZIRP(Zero Interest Rate Policy) in the year 2009??
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Will Obama’s administration set up a government run bank ?
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What will be the opening price of the DJIA on Monday morning, December 22, 2008?

What will be the opening price of the DJIA on Monday morning, December 22, 2008?

Play-money prediction markets on how Wall Street will close this Tuesday, November 25, 2008.

There are 2 set of prediction markets at HubDub about how the DJIA will close, tonite.
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I think this one is more usable…
DJIA – What will be the dollar (point) difference between open and close November 25, 2008?
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than that one:
Where will the DJIA close on Tuesday, November 25, 2008?
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But I am probably wrong because the second [...]

Fantastic, Wall Street is going to suffer this Friday (October 31, 2008).

If you are long Barack Obama for the US presidency, then you wish that the stock markets go spiraling into the abyss. The Wall Street Journal is reporting that “stock futures [are] falling ahead of another round of likely gloomy economic data”.
Excellent. I am so happy I could lay an egg.
Here’s the relevant HubDub prediction [...]

At what level will the Dow Jones Industrial Average close on Election Day?

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At what level will the Dow Jones Industrial Average close on Election Day?
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