Category Archives: Analysis (Meta)
Michael Masnick – NARM 2009 State Of The Industry
NARM 2009 State Of The Industry: Michael Masnick from NARM on Vimeo.
ABC News on prediction markets and the wisdom of crowds
I am re-publishing this video to test whether the bug that prevents embedded videos to show up in a feed reader can be fought by hitting “publishing” while the writing area is still in “HTML” mode. Let’s see. UPDATE: Bingo.
Do the EPM traders have access to all the primary indicators? Do the top brass really tell everything to the trading employees?
Prediction markets: the future of decision-making – Companies are now making business decisions based on information employees provide via internal trading systems. – The Tines of London – 2008-09-04
“We use them ["them" = the enterprise prediction markets] as another point in the decision-making process, alongside asking experts and other business leaders,” said Christina LaComb, a [...]
Google’s enterprise prediction markets — Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google
Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF file) – by Bo Cowgill, Justin Wolfers, and Eric Zitwewitz – 2008-01-06
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VIDEO — Bo Cowgill on Google’s enterprise prediction markets — O’Reilly Money:Tech
Blip.TV — (FLV file)
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Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence from Google – (PDF file – PDF [...]
Wrap-up reviews of the 2007 Consensus Point conference on prediction markets
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#1. Justin Wolfers on the 2007 Consensus Point conference
Robin Hanson tells me that he is now (back to) bullish on prediction markets – he saw real evidence of real firms implementing prediction markets and taking them seriously.
#2. Jed Christiansen on the 2007 Consensus Point conference
Robin [Hanson] gave a fairly standard introduction to prediction markets lecture [...]
Intel Corporation found their information aggregation mechanism to be accurate and useful.
WARNING: Even though the Intel director uses 15 times the term “prediction markets” in this paper, the forecasting tool they have been using is another form of information aggregation mechanism.
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The Spectrum of Risk Management in a Technology Company – Using Forecasting Markets to Manage Demand Risk – (PDF) – by Intel Corporation’s Jay W. Hopman [...]
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